Double Nominees: The Odds

83676274FH016_LOS_ANGELES_SGlib commentators like to say that the Oscar chances of Viola Davis (pictured, left) are much reduced because in the Best Supporting Actress category she is competing against her “Doubt” co-star, Amy Adams (pictured, right). But blogger Scott Feinberg points out that throughout Oscar history such occurrences have resulted in a win about one-third of the time, and that the odds for the women are better than the odds for the men. So don’t count out Davis yet. Also don’t count out Taraji P. Henson, from “Benjamin Button.” She could win if voters sour on Penelope Cruz and split their “Doubt” votes.

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